🎯 How It Works
This simulator demonstrates the real difficulty of winning lottery jackpots. You'll play a grid-based guessing game where you must win multiple rounds in a row to match the odds of real lottery jackpots.
Game Rules:
- Choose a lottery: Select from major world lotteries with their real odds
- Pick your grid: Choose grid size (1x10, 5x5, 10x10)
- Guess the winner: Click on a grid cell - one is randomly selected as the winner (green)
- Keep guessing: If you're right, you advance to the next round
- Beat the odds: You must win enough rounds to match the lottery's actual probability
- Pay the cost: Each guess costs the real lottery ticket price
🎮 Game Setup
Select Your Target Lottery:
Select Grid Size:
Target Odds
Select a lottery first
Required Rounds
-
Ticket Cost
-
📊 Game History
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Total Spent
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Average Spent/Game
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🔢 Mathematical Explanation
How Required Rounds Are Calculated
To replicate the odds of winning a lottery jackpot, we need to match the exact probability. Here's the math:
Formula:
Required Rounds = log(lottery odds) ÷ log(1 ÷ grid probability)
Where:
- Lottery odds: The actual odds of winning (e.g., 1 in 302,575,350 for Mega Millions)
- Grid probability: The chance of guessing correctly in one round
- 1×10 grid: 1 in 10 chance (10%)
- 5×5 grid: 1 in 25 chance (4%)
- 10×10 grid: 1 in 100 chance (1%)
Example: Mega Millions (1 in 302,575,350) with 5×5 grid
Step 1: Calculate grid probability
5×5 = 25 boxes → 1 in 25 chance = 0.04 (4%)
Step 2: Calculate required rounds
log(302,575,350) ÷ log(1 ÷ 0.04)
log(302,575,350) ÷ log(25)
19.53 ÷ 3.22 = 6.07 rounds
Result: 7 rounds (rounded up)
Verification: 0.04⁷ = 0.0000000004, which is approximately 1 in 2.5 billion
🎯 Optimization for Final Round
When the calculated rounds don't perfectly match the lottery odds, we optimize the final round:
- If we need 6.2 rounds: We play 5 full rounds + 1 optimized round
- Optimized round: Uses fewer boxes to get closer to exact odds
- Example: Instead of 25 boxes, might use 20 boxes for final round
🔍 Game Transparency
How to Verify This Game is Fair
This simulator is designed to be completely transparent. You can verify that the winner is pre-determined and not manipulated:
To Check the Winner Before Guessing:
- Right-click on any grid cell and select "Inspect Element" (or press F12)
- Look for the cell with
data-winner="true"attribute - This cell is the pre-determined winner for that round
- You can also see all cells have
data-indexattributes showing their position
Why This Matters:
- No manipulation: The winner is chosen before you click, not after
- True randomness: Each round has a completely independent random winner
- Verifiable: You can inspect the HTML to see the winner is pre-determined
- Educational: This demonstrates how real lottery systems work - the numbers are drawn independently of player choices
💡 Educational Purpose
This simulator demonstrates why lottery jackpots are extremely difficult to win:
- Real odds: Uses actual lottery probabilities from major world lotteries
- Visual feedback: See how many consecutive wins you need
- Cost awareness: Experience the real cost of chasing lottery dreams
- Probability education: Learn how compound probabilities work
- Transparency: Verify the game is fair by inspecting the HTML
Remember: In real life, you can't "reset" and try again with the same money. Every lottery ticket is a guaranteed loss on average.
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